872
FXUS63 KDDC 141801
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1201 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- LARGE HIGH TEMPERATURE GRADIENT TODAY
- DOWNSLOPE AND WARMING MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
- DRY FROPA THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 222 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
THERE WILL BE A LARGE HIGH TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS
TODAY. THIS IS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COOL HIGH PRESSURE AIRMASS TO
THE EAST AND DOWNSLOPING/WARMING AIR TO THE WEST. HAVE GONE WITH
A COOLER SOLUTION ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES WITH THIS AREA STRUGGLING
TO GET ABOVE FREEZING. NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER, MID TO UPPER 40S
ARE EXPECTED. THE COOL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL SHIFT OFF TO THE
EAST TODAY, WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
HIGH AND AS LEE TROUGHING RESUMES ACROSS COLORADO. LOWS HEADING INTO
MONDAY MORNING WILL BE A LITTLE BIT WARMER WITH VALUES NEAR CLIMO
- 20S.
WE WILL ENTER A ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ALOFT MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THIS SUPPORTS LOW LEVEL DOWNSLOPING ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. HIGHS
MONDAY WILL BE IN THE MIX OF 50S AND 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
LOOKS LIKELY FOR TUESDAY. WE MIGHT EVEN SEE 70 DEGREE READINGS ACROSS
FAR WESTERN KANSAS BY WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL TREND WARMER
EACH MORNING DURING THIS PERIOD, WITH ABOVE FREEZING LOWS LIKELY
BY THURSDAY MORNING. SPEAKING OF, LONG TERM MODELS INDICATE THE PASSAGE
OF A DRY FROPA THURSDAY. THIS FRONT WILL SHAVE OFF A FEW DEGREES
IN TEMPERATURES FOR HIGHS ALONG WILL HAVE AN ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT.
MORE DOWNSLOPING AND WARMING LOOKS TO RESUME BY THE END OF THE BUSINESS
WEEK. NEXT WEEKEND IS LOOKING TO FEATURE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND A DRY FORECAST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
IFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE EARLY IN THE PERIOD AT KGCK
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS THROUGH DIURNAL HEATING. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DROP OFF TO 10-12 KTS
AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE TROUGH
MOVES EASTWARD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...FINCH
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