281
FXUS63 KDDC 141959
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
159 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS COMING WEEK FOLLOWED BY
A BRIEF COOLDOWN THURSDAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70.
- ANOTHER DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE IS PREDICTED FOR NEXT SUNDAY, WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES.
- NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK, WITH DAILY
RAIN CHANCES NEAR 0%.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 123 PM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW WILL LEAD TO LOWER SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE
LEE OF THE ROCKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PASS ACROSS THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
PUSHING A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS AND RESULTING IN
COOLER HIGHS IN THE 50S FOR THURSDAY.
A RESUMPTION OF ZONAL MID LEVEL FLOW IS PREDICTED FOR FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY, LEADING TO SURFACE TROUGHING IN THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES, SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND WARMER WEATHER. HIGHS WELL
INTO THE 60S ARE LIKELY, WITH SOME READINGS NEAR 70 POSSIBLE IN
THE SOUTH.
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST FOR SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY. BOTTOM LINE IS THAT
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
GIVEN THE WESTERLY MOMENTUM ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND DOWNSLOPE,
MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING; AND CHANCES FOR MEASURABLE RAIN ARE
NEAR 0% AS SHOWN BY THE VARIOUS ENSEMBLE MEANS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1158 AM CST SUN DEC 14 2025
IFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY ERODE EARLY IN THE PERIOD AT KGCK
AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS THROUGH DIURNAL HEATING. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 15 KTS THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DROP OFF TO 10-12 KTS
AFTER SUNSET WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST LATER IN THE PERIOD AS A SURFACE TROUGH
MOVES EASTWARD.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FINCH
AVIATION...FINCH
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