547
FXUS63 KDDC 202232
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
432 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SOUTHWEST KANSAS WILL REMAIN DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 10
DAYS, AT LEAST THROUGH DECEMBER 30TH.
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN SEASONABLY COOL SUNDAY WITH BREEZY SOUTH
WINDS.
- A LONG STRETCH OF UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES (BOTH HIGH
AND LOW TEMPERATURES WAY ABOVE NORMAL) EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
- RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGHS OF 75-80 EXPECTED CHRISTMAS
AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 243 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
THE ZONAL JET STREAM PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY, TRANSITIONING TO A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND ADJACENT GREAT PLAINS. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP WESTERN
KANSAS DRY THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
NORMAL. SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER TRANSITION DAY TO EVEN WARMER
TEMPERATURES AS MONDAY APPEARS TO BE QUITE WARM. ELKHART WILL
LIKELY FLIRT WITH 80 DEGREES MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH 70S LIKELY
SPREADING AS FAR EAST AS THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR. A SUBTLE COLD
FRONT PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN A PULLBACK IN TEMPERATURE TUESDAY,
BUT SOUTHWEST KANSAS WILL BE RIGHT BACK INTO THE RECORD/NEAR
RECORD WARMTH OF 70S WEDNESDAY (CHRISTMAS EVE) AND THURSDAY
(CHRISTMAS DAY). RIGHT NOW, CHRISTMAS DAY IS THE WARMEST DAY IN
THE LATEST 7-DAY FORECAST WITH NBM HIGHS 72-77F (75TH PERCENTILE
HIGHS APPROACHING 80 DEGREES BETWEEN THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND THE
OKLAHOMA LINE).
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 432 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS CURRENTLY AT 2230Z WILL TREND LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH 12Z SUN, AS A 1030 MB SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE BUILDS OVER KANSAS. AFTER 15-18Z SUN, RETURN FLOW WILL
COMMENCE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS AT ALL AIRPORTS, GUSTING
25-28 KTS. VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD, WITH
VARYING AMOUNTS OF SCATTERED CIRRUS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...UMSCHEID
AVIATION...TURNER
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