332
FXUS63 KDDC 102129
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
329 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- IT WILL BE A COLD START TO THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN
THE 30S AND WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 DEGREES TODAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN TO SOUTHWEST KANSAS EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO THE 50S BY TUESDAY.
- DESPITE A FEW COLD FRONTAL PASSAGES NEXT WEEK, LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 328 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
THE VERY DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SW KANSAS MULTIPLE
INCHES OF SNOW CONTINUES TO TREK EASTWARD AND HAS REACHED THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. AS A RESULT, WEAK RIDGING HAS MOVED IN TO FILL THE
VOID. ENSEMBLES KEEP THIS RIDGING PRESENT FOR NEARLY THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO PRIMARILY DRY AND BENIGN STRETCH OF
WEATHER ACROSS SW KANSAS. THE PREVIOUS SNOWFALL WILL WORK TO KEEP
TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN GUIDANCE TODAY WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO
REACH 40 DEGREES. THIS IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST DAY
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. SATURDAY WILL ALSO SEE BREEZY (AROUND 20
MPH) WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. SUNDAY MORNING
WIND CHILLS WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
SUNDAY WILL LOOK SIMILAR TO SATURDAY FROM A WEATHER PERSPECTIVE. THE
WIND WILL HAVE A MORE SOUTHWESTERLY TILT HELPING BRING WARMER AIR
VIA ADVECTION. THE WARMER AIR WILL FIGHT THE REMAINING SNOWPACK WITH
FORECASTED HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. THE AREAS THAT WILL SEE THE
LOWEST HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CORRELATE VERY WELL WITH THE AREAS
THAT SAW THE MOST AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL.
ENSEMBLES HAVE A COUPLE UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS DEVELOPING AND MOVING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS IN THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK AND THE END OF
THE WEEK. ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DEVELOPS AS A RESULT OF THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE
ONLY DAY WITH MEANINGFUL (>5%) CHANCES FORE PRECIPITATION IS
WEDNESDAY WITH A 10-20% CHANCE. EVEN THIS SEEMS AGGRESSIVE WITH THE
BEST CHANCES PRIMARILY IN THE NORTHERN ZONES. EVEN IF PRECIPITATION
DOES OCCUR, IT IS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO
ACCUMULATIONS. OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL SEE HIGHS
FLUCTUATING IN THE 40/50S. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT (<15 MPH)
FOR THE PERIOD WITH OCCASIONAL SPIKES CLOSER TO 25 MPH. WITH
SEASONABLE WINTER TEMPERATURES, VIRTUALLY NO PRECIPITATION, AND
NEARLY NO FIRE WEATHER RISK IT IS EXPECTED TO BE A QUIET STRETCH
WITHOUT A WEATHER HEADLINE NEEDED.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1044 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. WEAK LOW-
LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS SW KANSAS IS FORECAST TO KEEP WINDS FAIRLY
LIGHT (<15 KTS) AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. AROUND 6Z WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO LIGHTEN TO AROUND 6 KTS AND SHIFT MORE FROM THE NORTH.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ
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