486
FXUS63 KDDC 112023
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
223 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOWPACK REGIONS WILL SEE COOLER HIGHS AROUND 40 DEGREES AS
THE SNOW MELTS QUICKLY WITH THE REST OF SW KANSAS SEEING HIGHS
INTO THE 50S
- SEASONAL WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40/50S WITH QUIET
WEATHER
- DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THE NEXT WEEK TO TEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 220 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THAT DEVELOPED IN THE UPPER-LEVELS YESTERDAY
HAS CONTINUED INTO TODAY. A DEEP TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS AND
SOME RIDGING OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS PATTERN WILL HOST A
METEOROLOGICAL ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR QUIET AND BENIGN WEATHER.
ADDITIONALLY, LONG-RANGED MODELS HAVE THIS SETUP CONTINUING THROUGH
AND BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE LREF HINTS AT A MORE ZONAL FLOW
BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD AT AROUND THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. DOWN
CLOSER TO THE SURFACE, MESOANALYSIS HAS NO SIGNIFICANT SYSTEMS
IMPACTING SW KANSAS. SOME HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE ROCKIES,
BUT OTHERWISE CLEAR WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS A RESULT. MOSTLY CLEAR TO
CLEAR SKIES WITH A LIGHT (10-15) WINDS ARE FORECAST THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. SNOWPACK IS QUICKLY RECEDING AS TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 40S
ACROSS MUCH OF SW KANSAS. AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OCCURRED ARE SIGNIFICANTLY KEEPING TEMPERATURES DOWN AS FAR AS AROUND
10 DEGREES. VERY LITTLE SNOWPACK IS EXPECTED TO SURVIVE THROUGH
MONDAY EXCEPT FOR VERY ISOLATED AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS.
HIGHS TODAY MAY REACH THE 50S FOR AREAS THAT ARE WARMER.
THE START OF THE WEEK IS EXPECTED TO SEE CONTINUED HIGHS AROUND 50
DEGREES WITH NO NOTABLE WEATHER. WITH NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER SYSTEMS
INSIDE THE FORECAST PERIOD, NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST. ENSEMBLES
KEEP CHANCES BELOW <5% THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. SMALL TEMPERATURE
DROPS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY, BUT ALL OVER THE EXPECTED
HIGHS ARE CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES. NO PRECIPITATION, NO FIRE
WEATHER RISK (WITH MODEST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND LIGHTER
WINDS), SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY CULMINATE IN NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR HEADLINES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND
INTO THE BEYOND.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1049 AM CST SUN JAN 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR
TO CLEAR SKIES ARE FORECAST. WINDS WILL VARY BETWEEN THE SOUTHWEST
AND THE NORTHWEST WITH THE TAFS PREVAILING GROUPS BEING PRIMARILY
WESTERLY. THE WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE AROUND 5-10 KTS SETTING UP GREAT
AVIATION CONDITIONS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...KBJ
AVIATION...KBJ
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