838
FXUS63 KDDC 261605
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1005 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION/KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
- ARCTIC AIR MODIFIES WITH A WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.
- ANOTHER BRIEF SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR AROUND FRIDAY. SOME LIGHT
SNOW IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS COLD SURGE FRIDAY, BUT AMOUNTS AND
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
RADAR SHOWING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS GRADUALLY MOVING OUT OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING AS A POSITIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE
BEGINS TO EXIT THE REGION. IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM, CHILLY
AIR REMAINS GENERALLY IN PLACE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE NOTICEABLY WARMER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS HOWEVER AS
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY IN THE 30S AREA-WIDE,
WITH NEAR 40 TOWARD THE CO BORDER. THIS SLOW, GRADUAL WARMING
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID-WEEK WHEN WESTERLY FLOW INCREASES
ACROSS THE ROCKIES, ALLOWING SOME MINOR DOWNSLOPE INFLUENCE.
TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY WILL BE WIDESPREAD IN THE 40S, WITH
50S MAKING A COME BACK IN WESTERN ZONES. LOW TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THIS STRETCH REMAIN COLD WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
1S TO LOW 10S EACH RESPECTIVE MORNING. IT IS NOT UNTIL WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING WHERE LOWS GET BACK TO NORMAL
LEVELS.
LREF-CLUSTERING GRAND ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EAST OF THE AREA SWINGING IN A COLD
FRONT LATE WEEK. WITH THE PASSAGE, COLD TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
TO THE FORECAST AREA. NBM PROBABILITIES OF 10 DEGREES OR LESS
LOW TEMPERATURES INCREASE AGAIN TO 30-70% FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
MORNING. WITH THIS WAVE, SOME LIGHT SNOW IS ALSO POSSIBLE, AS
EVIDENCED BY A WEAK SIGNAL FROM THE ENSCONTROL/GFS/ICON, AND
THEIR ENSEMBLE SUITES. NBM CARRIES LOW POPS (25% OR LESS) TO
HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL AT THIS TIME AND IS REFLECTED IN THE
FORECAST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1005 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
GOOD FLYING WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD, WITH
VFR/SKC CONTINUING, AND INCREASING CIRRUS TUESDAY. SW WINDS WILL
BE ELEVATED AT ALL AIRPORTS THROUGH 21Z MON, GUSTING 27-30 KTS.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 21Z, TREND LIGHT NWLY OVERNIGHT, AND
TREND LIGHT AND VARIABLE TUESDAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY FOR
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...TURNER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page