356
FXUS63 KDDC 011017
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
417 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW
- COOLER AIR RETURNS MID WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ONCE
AGAIN LATE WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 241 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PORTRAYS AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE CURRENTLY OVER THE ROCKIES GETTING FLATTENED BY A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE SWINGING DOWN FROM CANADA AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TOMORROW. THIS TROUGH THEN MOVES THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDING THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED
STATES MID TO LATE WEEK, THEN OVER THE PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND.
AS FOR CLOSER TO THE SURFACE, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH WINDS FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION TODAY, BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. MID TO UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS INCREASES
MONDAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION. AS FOR
TEMPERATURES, HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD REACH INTO THE 60S WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF OUR EASTERN ZONES WHERE SNOW REMAINS AND ONLY REACH
INTO THE UPPER 50S. LOWS TONIGHT DIP INTO THE 20S WITH HIGHS
TOMORROW IN THE 60S WITH THE EXCEPTION ONCE AGAIN ACROSS CENTRAL
KANSAS WHERE UPPER 50S WILL BE FOUND.
ENSEMBLE MODELS DEPICT A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A SECOND WEAK COLD FRONT THURSDAY. MODELS THEN
SUGGEST A STRONGER COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY. THE
CURRENT RUN OF THE NBM DOES NOT SHOW ANY PRECIPITATION WITH THESE
DISTURBANCES BUT I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF A SLIGHT CHANCE IS ADDED
AS WE GO INTO THE FUTURE. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS LOOK TO ONLY
REACH INTO THE 50S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH LOW TO MID 60S
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 20S WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF FRIDAY MORNING WHERE LOWS MAY ONLY DIP INTO THE
30S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 417 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. WINDS WILL
BE FROM A WESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT LESS THAN
10 KNOTS. WINDS THEN BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42
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