165
FXUS63 KDDC 212300
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
500 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTER A COLD NIGHT, A WARMING TREND WILL COMMENCE SUNDAY INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
- AFTER WARM DAYS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, TRACE TO VERY LIGHT
RAIN AMOUNTS ARE PREDICTED FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
NORTHWESTERLY MOMENTUM WAS MIXING TO THE SURFACE EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT THIS
THIS EVENING BY SUNSET. WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT, STRONG RADIATIONAL
COOLING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ROCKIES BY SUNDAY,
WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW LEADING TO A WARMING TREND. THE STRONGEST
DOWNSLOPE WILL OCCUR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT, WITH HIGHS WARMING INTO THE 70S TO NEAR 80. THE
WARMEST READINGS WEDNESDAY WILL OCCUR RIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT
SO THAT A SLOWER FRONTAL ARRIVAL WOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES. THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY PASS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION GIVEN THE DRY AIR MASS AHEAD OF IT AND FAST MOVING
NATURE OF THE TROUGH. THE VARIOUS ENSEMBLE SUITES INDICATE VERY
LOW CHANCES (LESS THAN 10%) FOR PRECIPITATION OF .1" OR GREATER
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. THIS WILL MOST LIKELY
BE A TRACE OF RAIN EVENT OR PERHAPS A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH
ON THE HIGH END.
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ONLY A
SLIGHT COOL DOWN IS FORECAST THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT;
BUT THEN DOWNSLOPE WARMING WILL RESUME BY FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER
WARM UP. DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 500 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD WITH
RATHER LIGHT WINDS AND ONLY A FEW HIGHS CLOUDS FROM TIME TO
TIME. A WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED AFTER 15Z SUNDAY FROM A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TO SOUTHERLY AND EASTERLY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FINCH
AVIATION...BENNETT
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