839
FXUS63 KDDC 140429
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1129 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RED FLAG CONDITIONS SATURDAY
- VERY STRONG WINDS AND COLDER SUNDAY
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
A MILD AND ABOVE FREEZING NIGHT IS ON TAP. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, KEEPING TEMPERATURES
UP. FOR SATURDAY, LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL BE ADVECTED IN FROM THE
WEST. THE LEE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE. HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
80S. THE COMBINATION OF THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND THE BREEZY
WINDS WILL RESULT IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR A PORTION OF THE
FA. DO NOT BURN!
ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO SUNDAY MORNING. A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL PLOW THROUGH THE STATE DURING THE MORNING. 850 HPA TEMPERATURES
WILL CRASH DOWN TO THE -3C TO -9C RANGE. IN ADDITION, 40-50 KT
850 HPA WINDS AND MIXING WILL RESULT IN A DRAMATICALLY COLDER
AND VERY WINDY DAY. HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
FA SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE ABOUT A 40 DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURE
DROP FROM SATURDAY TO SUNDAY. SOME LIGHT RAIN AND/OR SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONT. THERE ALSO MAY BE BLOWING DUST DUE
TO THE VERY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS.
LOOKING AT THE NEXT BUSINESS WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL START TO
REBOUND TUESDAY ONWARD. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL START TO
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE NET RESULT IS ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE MORE
IN THE LATE SPRING/EARLY SUMMER RANGE. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED AS THE RIDGE PREVAILS ACROSS THE GREATER REGION.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR ALL SITES THROUGH THE ENTIRE
TAF PERIOD WITH A SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WIND AT 10-20 MPH. CLEAR SKIES
WILL START OFF, BUT AT THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD, CLOUDS ARE
FORECAST TO MOVE IN WITH LLWS. SOME UNCERTAINTY LINGERS WITH THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT, BUT CLOUD COVER, LLWS, AND GUST WINDS (UP TO 25
KTS) ARE FORECAST BY AROUND 4-5Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
LOWER DEWPOINTS WILL ADVECT IN FROM THE WEST SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT
IN HUMIDITY BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 10-15% RANGE. THE LEE TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS. THE COMBINATION OF THE LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY, WARM HIGHS, AND BREEZY WINDS WILL RESULT IN RED
FLAG CONDITIONS FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS. A RED FLAG WARNING
HAS BE ISSUED AS A RESULT OF THIS METEOROLOGICAL SETUP.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM
MDT/ SATURDAY FOR KSZ030-043>045-061>064-074>078-084>088.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...KBJ
FIRE WEATHER...SUGDEN
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