638
FXUS63 KDDC 111009
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
509 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DENSE FOG AND MIST WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH DISSIPATION
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE MORNING
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AT THIS TIME
- WARMER DRIER WEATHER RETURNS TOMORROW AND THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1216 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
DENSE FOG AND A LIGHT MIST WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH SOME
DISSIPATION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER SUNRISE AS THE WINDS TURN MORE
TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE IN SPEED. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. A LULL IN THE ACTION IS
EXPECTED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THE NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. RAIN CHANCES THEN SHIFT EASTWARD
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW. PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES
ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE CWA WITH SOME CLEARING
FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TOMORROW
NIGHT. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS THIS MORNING WILL DIP INTO THE 40S
WITH LOW 50S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LOWS TONIGHT
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS TO NEAR 60
DEGREES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS SUNDAY WILL REACH INTO THE 80S
WITH LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT RANGING FROM THE MID 40S ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS TO UPPER 50S ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST LOOKS DRY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE
SURFACE AND CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. LOW RHS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE OSBERVED ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS DURING THIS PERIOD AND AFTERNOONS
WITH HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER.
TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
UPPER 80S WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 40S TO 60S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 506 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN AS A WARM FRONT CROSSES SOUTHWEST
KANSAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. AS THE WINDS SHIFT, DENSE FOG IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LEADING TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS. LATEST
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THIS TREND MAY BE HAPPENING FASTER THAN
MODELS CURRENTLY SUGGEST. WILL THEREFORE ADJUST THE IMPROVING
CONDITIONS ACCORDINGLY, ESPECIALLY AFTER 15Z TODAY AS SOUTHERLY
WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS. AS A RESULT THE VFR CEILINGS
(GREATER THAN 9000 FT AGL) SHOULD RETURN BY OR SHORTLY AFTER
15Z. HAYS WILL BE THE LAST AREA TO SEE IMPROVEMENT (AROUND 18Z).
LATE TODAY WE WILL BE MONITORING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
CONVECTION. FOR TAF SITES, THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY TO
OCCUR, IF AT ALL, AFTER 00Z SUNDAY. THE PRIMARY WINDOW FOR THIS
ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE FROM 00Z TO 06Z SUNDAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING FOR
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-075>081-086>089.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING FOR KSZ061-062-074-075-084-085.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...BURGERT
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