450
FXUS63 KDDC 121013
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
513 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH EXCEPTION OF
CENTRAL KANSAS TUESDAY EVENING
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
- LOW RHS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER EACH
AFTERNOON THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING TUESDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
WEDNESDAY WHEN A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH BRIEFLY SHIFTING
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AND AGAIN LATE WEEK. SKIES WILL CLEAR TODAY
FROM WEST TO EAST WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER THIS WEEK. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S ACROSS FAR
WESTERN KANSAS TO LOW 60S ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS WILL REACH
INTO THE 80S TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH LOWS IN THE 40S WEST TO 50S
EAST. HIGHS IN THE 80S CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH 70S ON WEDNESDAY. WE
THEN REBOUND INTO THE 80S THURSDAY AND UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FRIDAY.
ENSEMBLE MODELS THEN SHOW A DRASTIC COOL DOWN NEXT WEEKEND. WE WILL
WATCH FUTURE MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF THIS PATTERN CONTINUES.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 511 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
VFR CEILINGS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO CLEARING SKIES THIS
AFTERNOON AS SUBSIDENCE DEVELOPS BEHIND AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A DRYLINE WILL ALSO CROSS
SOUTHWEST KANSAS TODAY, CAUSING A GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS TO SHIFT TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST BETWEEN 15Z AND 21Z TODAY.
THESE GUSTY WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS BETWEEN
00Z AND 03Z MONDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 154 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2026
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TODAY ACROSS FAR
WESTERN WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS A
LARGER AREA OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR KSZ031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO 10 PM CDT
/9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...BURGERT
FIRE WEATHER...UMSCHEID
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