343
FXUS63 KDDC 121623
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1123 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH EXCEPTION OF
CENTRAL KANSAS TUESDAY EVENING
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
- LOW RHS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER EACH
AFTERNOON THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS WHERE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING TUESDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
WEDNESDAY WHEN A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH BRIEFLY SHIFTING
WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST AND AGAIN LATE WEEK. SKIES WILL CLEAR TODAY
FROM WEST TO EAST WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER THIS WEEK. AS
FOR TEMPERATURES, LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S ACROSS FAR
WESTERN KANSAS TO LOW 60S ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS WILL REACH
INTO THE 80S TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH LOWS IN THE 40S WEST TO 50S
EAST. HIGHS IN THE 80S CONTINUE TUESDAY WITH 70S ON WEDNESDAY. WE
THEN REBOUND INTO THE 80S THURSDAY AND UPPER 70S TO MID 80S FRIDAY.
ENSEMBLE MODELS THEN SHOW A DRASTIC COOL DOWN NEXT WEEKEND. WE WILL
WATCH FUTURE MODEL RUNS TO SEE IF THIS PATTERN CONTINUES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1118 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
BROAD, DRY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL KANSAS REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAY AS AN
INTENSE STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. THUS,
VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY WILL PREVAIL WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND
DIRECTION AND SPEED (OTHER THAN LIGHTER WINDS BETWEEN SUNSET AND
SUNRISE) AS SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS REMAINS IN THE WARM/DRY SECTOR
OF THIS STORM SYSTEM THROUGH TUESDAY.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING FOR KSZ031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR
KSZ061-062-074>076-084>086.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...UMSCHEID
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