420  
FNUS73 KDDC 181740  
FWSDDC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CLARK COUNTY FIRES...KDEM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS  
1240 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATION TRENDS, VARIABLE  
TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID-  
AFTERNOON AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY FROM THE  
TEXAS PANHANDLE NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS, INCLUDING  
IN VICINITY OF CLARK COUNTY. THE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN  
LIFTING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD LATE AFTERNOON, ALLOWING LIGHT SOUTH-  
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE SOMEWHAT THROUGH EARLY EVENING.  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF SAID BOUNDARY  
LATE THIS AFTERNOON, THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY/MID-  
EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL  
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR  
TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  
 
A COLD FRONT IS PROJECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN/CENTRAL  
KANSAS EARLY THIS EVENING, TURNING WINDS NORTHERLY 20 TO 30 MPH WITH  
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 MPH GENERALLY AFTER 7-8 PM CDT. WINDS ARE  
THEN EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY  
MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 21 TO 22  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 36 TO 37 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 26 32 39 32  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 10 20 30 20  
TEMP............84 85 86 88 87  
RH..............41 40 35 32 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 15 19 22 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 22 26 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 7.2 8.8 11 8.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 24 30 37 36  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 17 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 31 TO 33 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 21  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 23 TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING  
INCREASING TO 28 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........24 17 20 22 25 29 32 36 35 33 32 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 82 74 68 62 57 55 53 52 51 48 46  
RH..............24 24 34 47 61 67 68 70 73 74 77 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..22 20 19 18 18 19 19 20 20 20 19 19  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 26 26 25 24 25 26 26 26 26 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.2 4.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 31 21 23 30 33 35 35 32 32 30 28  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
 
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
 

 
FORECASTER...J JOHNSON  
REQUESTED BY...GREGG BOLLELLA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613936.0/DDC  
.DELDT 05/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRETT.ALBRIGHT@NOAA.GOV,GREGG.BOLLELLA@KS.GOV  
 
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