416
FNUS73 KDDC 181747
FWSDDC
SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADE COMPLEX...KDEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1247 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE AND SURFACE OBSERVATION TRENDS, VARIABLE
TO LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID-
AFTERNOON AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY FROM THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE NORTHEASTWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THE BOUNDARY
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LIFTING SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD LATE AFTERNOON,
ALLOWING LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS TO GRADUALLY INCREASE SOMEWHAT
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
AND AHEAD OF SAID BOUNDARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY TO THE
EAST OF MEADE COUNTY, THEN MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY/MID-
EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR
TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
A COLD FRONT IS PROJECTED TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN/CENTRAL
KANSAS EARLY THIS EVENING, TURNING WINDS NORTHERLY 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 MPH GENERALLY AFTER 7-8 PM CDT. WINDS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 36
TO 39 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 11 14 17 15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 10 0 0
TEMP............84 87 89 91 91
RH..............34 30 26 24 16
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 15 17 18
20 FT WIND GUST.11 17 22 25 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 7.4 9.9 13 13
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 24 29 36 39
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 21
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 20 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING
INCREASING TO 26 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 12 16 21 25 27 30 33 32 30 29 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............90 88 83 74 65 60 57 54 52 50 48 45
RH..............13 12 18 27 47 57 61 65 70 74 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..19 20 19 18 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 25 24 24 25 25 24 24 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...12 6.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW NW N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.40 33 21 20 29 35 33 31 30 30 28 26
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...J JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...GREGG BOLLELLA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613935.0/DDC
.DELDT 05/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRETT.ALBRIGHT@NOAA.GOV,GREGG.BOLLELLA@KS.GOV
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