285
FNUS73 KDDC 182339
FWSDDC
SPOT FORECAST FOR HERMAN RANCH FIRE...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
639 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SURGE SOUTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHWEST
KANSAS AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS, MOVING INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
EARLY THIS EVENING. STRONG NORTH WINDS AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UPWARD OF 40 TO 45 MPH DEVELOPING BEHIND THE FRONT CAN BE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING WITH WINDS THEN
BEGINNING TO SLIGHTLY SUBSIDE SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 16 TO 27
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37 MPH IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN DECREASING TO 15 TO
17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
23 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH 24 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........17 18 22 29 28 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............89 75 63 56 53 48
RH..............19 38 59 68 71 78
20 FT WIND......NW 18 NW 25 N 25 N 19 N 17 N 17
20 FT WIND GUST.25 34 36 29 26 26
MIX HGT (FT)....5200 700 600 1400 2200 2000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 35 N 23 N 28 N 33 N 30 N 26
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10 TO 11 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........27 23 15 7 5 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 47 53 59 66 69
RH..............79 77 59 47 37 33
20 FT WIND......N 17 N 15 N 14 N 13 N 12 NE 11
20 FT WIND GUST.25 24 22 20 18 18
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 2500 2900 3700 4500 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 24 N 24 N 22 N 20 N 17 N 15
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 15 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........11 9 14 13 5 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 66 59 55 52 48
RH..............34 38 55 68 79 88
20 FT WIND......NE 10 E 9 NE 6 NE 6 NE 6 NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.17 14 11 10 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....5300 4100 600 600 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 15 E 14
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 8
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 16 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........35 43 63 63 67 75
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............46 47 55 59 63 67
RH..............95 93 66 56 48 45
20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 12 13 13 14
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1500 2900 4000 4600 4700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 13 E 16 E 16 E 15 SE 15
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 70. EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...J JOHNSON
REQUESTED BY...AARON WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613977.0/DDC
.DELDT 05/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ATWILLIAMS@KSU.EDU
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