164
FXUS63 KDDC 251600
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1100 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY TONIGHT
- BOUTS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BREEZY
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
THESE WINDS WILL HELP TO KEEP MINIMUMS MILD WITH VALUES IN THE
50S TO 60S.
GULF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT IN ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KANSAS. BY MIDWEEK, FORECAST PWATS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER 1".
THIS MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. PRETTY MUCH EVERY ENSEMBLE MEMBER FROM
BOTH THE GEFS AND ENS HAVE VARIOUS QPF AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
STATE. THERE IS NOT GOOD AGREEMENT WHERE THE HEAVIER AXIS OF
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL. AMOUNTS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE, SINCE
WE WILL BE DEALING WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE LREF IS
SHOWING NEAR 100% PROBABILITY OF RAIN AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 0.25"
FOR THE WEEK. UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE FAIRLY WEAK FOR MUCH OF
THE WEEK, SO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SEEM UNLIKELY. THERE COULD BE
STRONG STORM THOUGH WITH SOME MARGINAL WIND AND HAIL THREATS.
BUT THE MAIN STORY IS THAT WE WILL FINALLY GET A SHOT AT MUCH
NEEDED RAIN.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, SEASONAL HIGHS (70S TO 80S) AND MILD LOWS
(50S TO 60S) ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2026
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH TAF PD. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BLOW TODAY 15-20
KT WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 KT. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED EVEN AFTER
DUSK TONIGHT.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...SUGDEN
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