731
FXUS63 KDDC 051610
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1110 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- STORM CHANCES DIMINISH AND TEMPERATURES RETURN MORE NORMAL
THROUGH MIDWEEK
- HOTTER TEMPERATURES RETURN MIDWEEK ALONG WITH PRECIPITATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2026
RIDGING OVER THE THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. WILL BE THE DRIVING
FORCE FOR OUR WEATHER HERE ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OVER THE NEXT FEW TO SEVERAL DAYS. AS A RESULT, STORM CHANCES
FALL OFF SIGNIFICANTLY TO END THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
ONLY BEING ON THE NORTHEASTERLY PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE, AND
LACKING DOWNSLOPING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN, TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE LOW TO MID 90S, RIGHT ON PAR FOR THE BEGINNING OF JULY.
FORECAST WILL REFLECT ONLY A DEGREE OR TWO RISE EACH DAY FROM
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
WEDNESDAY IS LOOKING LIKE THE HOTTEST DAY OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD, WHERE TRIPLE DIGITS APPEAR TO MAKE A RETURN. 01Z NBM
PROBABILITIES OF MAX TEMPERATURES 100 DEGREES OR HIGHER ARE
40-80% ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA, WITH THE
GREATEST CHANCES ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER. THE TRIPLE DIGITS
POTENTIAL WILL BE SHORT LIVED. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE FROM THE
GLOBALS SHOW SOME SORT OF PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAKING A
COMEBACK, MAINLY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. NBM POPS ARE GENERALLY
30-60% CHANCE BOTH DAYS. NO REAL ORGANIZED FLOW IS MODELED ON
EITHER DAY, SO STORM ORGANIZATION AND SEVERITY WOULD MOST LIKELY
BE KEPT AT BAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1107 AM CDT SUN JUL 5 2026
QUIET AVIATION WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THIS TAF PERIOD AS HIGHEST
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
OF OUR SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AIRPORTS, INCLUDING
LBL. PREVAILING WIND WILL REMAIN LIGHT AT 12 KNOTS OR LESS
THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVEN CONTINUED WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT.
WIDESPREAD VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY IS ALSO EXPECTED, OUTSIDE OF A
BRIEF EARLY MORNING WINDOW OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO LIGHT
FOG.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BENNETT
AVIATION...UMSCHEID
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