596
FXUS63 KDDC 202215
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
515 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
WITH HEAT INDICES AT OR ABOVE 105
- A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON
- A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS AND ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
- A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE
ENTIRE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
THE CENTER OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
FROM OVER THE ROCKIES TODAY TO SOUTH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL SUPPRESS ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FROM FORMING BRINGING DRY
WEATHER TO WESTERN KANSAS. THERE MAY BE A FEW MID LEVEL CUMULUS
CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW BUT OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT THEN BRIEFLY SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST TOMORROW MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO
TOMORROW NIGHT, THEN THE SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY. VERY WARM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH HIGHS AROUND 100 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWS TONIGHT RANGING FROM AROUND 70 DEGREES ALONG
THE KS/CO BORDER TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW LOOK TO RANGE FROM THE MID 90S ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR TO
LOW 100S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL DIP
TO AROUND 70 DEGREES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
WHERE LOW 70S WILL BE FOUND. HIGHS WEDNESDAY LOOK TO REACH INTO THE
90S.
MID RANGE MODELS SHOW A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT INCREASING LIFT ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS. AS OF NOW, NBM DEPICTS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND THE I-70 CORRIDOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A BETTER CHANCE ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THURSDAY
NIGHT. A DRY AND HOT PATTERN THEN RETURNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST. HIGHS DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 90S
WITH 100S POSSIBLE ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER THURSDAY AND THE ENTIRE
CWA SUNDAY. LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER
70S.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 514 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FLIGHT PERIOD.
SKIES ARE FORECAST MOSTLY CLEAR WITH THE SYNOPTIC HIGH OVERHEAD.
WINDS WILL BEGIN BY LIGHTENING TO AROUND 5 KTS AND VARIABLE
PRIMARILY OUT OF THE SOUTH. AROUND 15Z, WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO
AROUND 10-15 KTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ031-046-065-
066-079>081-089-090.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR KSZ081-089-090.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...KBJ
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