345
FXUS63 KDDC 210300
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1000 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION/KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
- DESPITE A NORTHEAST WIND SHIFT, INTENSE HEAT WILL CONTINUE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 100.
- A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COUNTIES SOUTHEAST OF
DODGE CITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WHERE HEAT INDICES OF 105-110
ARE EXPECTED. THE MOST DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS
CLARK, COMANCHE AND BARBER COUNTIES.
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHWEST
KANSAS THROUGH THIS WEEK. ANY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
FAVOR NORTHERN ZONES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT. MANY
LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.
- HEAT IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD AGGRESSIVELY OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES OVER 100 EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
THE CENTER OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
FROM OVER THE ROCKIES TODAY TO SOUTH OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL SUPPRESS ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FROM FORMING BRINGING DRY
WEATHER TO WESTERN KANSAS. THERE MAY BE A FEW MID LEVEL CUMULUS
CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW BUT OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES DURING THIS TIME FRAME. TOWARDS THE SURFACE, LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT THEN BRIEFLY SHIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST TOMORROW MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE EAST TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO
TOMORROW NIGHT, THEN THE SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY. VERY WARM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME WITH HIGHS AROUND 100 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOWS TONIGHT RANGING FROM AROUND 70 DEGREES ALONG
THE KS/CO BORDER TO UPPER 70S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. HIGHS
TOMORROW LOOK TO RANGE FROM THE MID 90S ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR TO
LOW 100S ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL DIP
TO AROUND 70 DEGREES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
WHERE LOW 70S WILL BE FOUND. HIGHS WEDNESDAY LOOK TO REACH INTO THE
90S.
MID RANGE MODELS SHOW A FEW WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVE OVER THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT INCREASING LIFT ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS. AS OF NOW, NBM DEPICTS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL KANSAS AND THE I-70 CORRIDOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A BETTER CHANCE ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THURSDAY
NIGHT. A DRY AND HOT PATTERN THEN RETURNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST. HIGHS DURING THIS TIME FRAME WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 90S
WITH 100S POSSIBLE ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER THURSDAY AND THE ENTIRE
CWA SUNDAY. LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER
70S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1000 PM CDT MON JUL 20 2026
EXCELLENT FLYING WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD,
WITH VFR/SKC MAINTAINED AT ALL AIRPORTS. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED AFTERNOON CUMULUS CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY. LIGHT
WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL BACKDOOR
THROUGH SW KS DAYLIGHT TUESDAY, WITH ELEVATED NORTHEAST WINDS
GUSTING 23-27 KTS. WINDS WILL TREND EASTERLY AND DIMINISH BY
00Z WED.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR KSZ081-088>090.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...TURNER
KEY MESSAGES...TURNER
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