649
FXUS63 KDDC 220514
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1214 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OUR SOUTHEASTERN ZONES THIS
AFTERNOON.
- A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH A BETTER CHANCE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT
- WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 113 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026
A WEAK SHORT WAVE IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AND WILL BE
FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING. SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO FORM ACROSS OUR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES AND ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. THERE MAY BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THAT
FORMS THIS AFTERNOON IN THIS AREA BUT QUICKLY DISSIPATE BY EARLY
EVENING IF THEY DO FORM. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY TOMORROW. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM ACROSS FAR WESTERN KANSAS TOMORROW AFTERNOON
BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM AN
EASTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH MIDNIGHT THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST
TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. AS FOR TEMPERATURES, HIGHS
THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 90S ALONG THE I-70
CORRIDOR TO LOW 100S ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER. WE THEN DIP INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S TONIGHT WITH 90S FOR HIGHS TOMORROW WITH AROUND
100 ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. LOWS TOMORROW NIGHT WILL ONCE
AGAIN FALL INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL THEN BE IN PLACE SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PLACING SOUTHWEST KANSAS UNDER WEST TO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER
THIS RIDGE THURSDAY NIGHT AND BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE BEST
CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST LOOKS DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE
DOMINATE FEATURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AS FOR TEMPERATURES,
HIGHS WILL GENERALLY REACH INTO THE 90S TO LOW 100S WITH LOWS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
A FRONT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. EXPECT WINDS TO BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST, WITH HIGHEST
GUSTS OF 25 KTS WITH DAYTIME HEATING FROM 16 TO 22Z. THERE IS A
VERY SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM AT KGCK BETWEEN 22 AND 02Z
ALONG THE FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...HOVORKA_42
AVIATION...FINCH
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