369
FXUS63 KDDC 312231
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
531 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MULTIPLE DAYS OF 100+ TEMPERATURES FOR AFTERNOON HIGHS ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WORKWEEK
- VERY LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THIS WEEK AS THE NORTH
AMERICAN MONSOON CIRCULATION REMAINS OUT WEST ACROSS NEW
MEXICO INTO COLORADO.
- LITTLE CHANGE IN WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION MUCH OF THIS WEEK AS
WELL WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL LARGE SCALE JET STREAM
PATTERN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
NOT MUCH TO DISCUSS AS HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL
DAYS. THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF STORMS ALONG THE COLORADO BORDER
TUESDAY EVENING, HOWEVER, A MORE LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT ALL THE
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WEST OF THE FA. OTHERWISE, THE LONG AND SHORT
OF THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS THAT A LARGE AND STRONG MID LEVEL ANTICYCLONE
WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE GREATER REGION THROUGH THE ENTIRE
WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE HOT AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST KANSAS. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH IN THIS STAGNANT
WEATHER PATTERN. HIGHS WILL PEAK EACH DAY IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER
100S. LOWS WILL BE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS WILL SEE AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE LOW 100S. WILL HAVE
TO WATCH EACH DAY IF IT COULD MAKE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA. RIGHT NOW,
IT LOOKS LESS LIKELY, PERHAPS WITH THE EXCEPTION ON THURSDAY. LASTLY,
NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER DAYS ARE EXPECTED AS BOTH AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE ON THE MARGINAL SIDE.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 522 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2026
PREVAILING WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH WITH SLIGHT
VARIATION SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS TAF
PERIOD, HOWEVER SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 12 KNOTS
UNTIL MID-LATE MORNING TUESDAY WHEN SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BUMP UP
TO 12 TO 15 KNOTS SUSTAINED AT LBL AND DDC
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...SUGDEN
AVIATION...UMSCHEID
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