080
FXUS63 KDDC 021652
AFDDDC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1152 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER AND MUCH DRIER WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR TODAY, WITH
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
- PLEASANT WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 70S AND LIGHT WINDS.
- EXPECT WARMER WEATHER BY EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK, WITH HIGHS IN
THE 80S EACH DAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY AND RAIN CHANCES
NEAR 0%.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 125 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
CLOUDINESS IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
ERODE, LEAVING CLEAR SKIES TODAY. WITH LIGHT EAST WINDS,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER, WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE MID
TO UPPER 60S. SOME OF THE MODEL SUITES KEEP TEMPERATURES ONLY
IN THE LOWER 60S DUE TO SHALLOWER MIXING. BUT WITH FULL SUN, THE
WARMER SOLUTIONS ARE FAVORED DESPITE ALL OF THE RECENT RAIN.
WITH LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT, EXPECT LOWS IN THE 40S AT MOST
LOCATIONS, WITH SOME READINGS NEAR 40 IN THE USUAL COOLER
NOCTURNAL SPOTS OF FAR WESTERN KANSAS.
DESPITE AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES, SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL TEND TO RIDGE BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO KANSAS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY, PREVENTING ANY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW. BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONAL AND PLEASANT, ESPECIALLY
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S. SOME 80 DEGREE READINGS ARE POSSIBLE IN FAR WESTERN
KANSAS BY MONDAY.
WARMER WEATHER WILL ARRIVE BY TUESDAY AS THE MID LEVEL FLOW
BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS ON THE
HIGH PLAINS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO EVEN UPPER 80S CAN BE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH CLEAR TO MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES EACH DAY. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY. THE BREEZIEST DAYS SHOULD BE MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS
THE WARM AIR BEGINS TO ADVECT INTO KANSAS FROM THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST. BUT LIGHT WINDS ARE FAVORED BY MID TO LATE NEXT
WEEK. THE VARIOUS ENSEMBLE MEANS INDICATE NEAR 0% CHANCES FOR
MEASURABLE RAIN FOR ALL OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 555 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING SHOW MVFR STRATUS
LINGERING AT DDC AND LBL, WHILE GCK AND HYS SIT IN VFR. SHORT
RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES THE STRATUS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
SOUTHEAST, CLEARING DDC IN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS AND LBL BY
AROUND 17Z, ALLOWING VFR TO PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TERMINALS
THROUGH THE END OF THIS TAF CYCLE. OTHERWISE, NORTH-NORTHEAST
WINDS CURRENTLY AOA 12 KTS WILL WEAKEN TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY
EARLY AFTERNOON.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1152 AM CDT FRI OCT 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN VICINITY OF ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY. LIGHT EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON
ARE EXPECTED TO TURN MORE SOUTHEASTERLY GENERALLY AFTER 23-01Z THIS
EVENING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION PUSHES
FARTHER EAST.
DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...FINCH
AVIATION...JJOHNSON
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