233  
FNUS73 KDMX 071313  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KUEHN CONSERVATION AREA...DALLAS COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
813 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME OUT OF THE  
NORTHEAST TO EAST INTO MIDDAY AND MAY BECOME OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST  
AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN  
10-15 MPH. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WHICH  
MAY BRING A LOW CHANCE (<30%) FOR A SHOWER/STORM AT THE BURN  
SITE. THESE DO POSE THE HAZARD OF GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS OF  
30-40 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DO DROP TO AROUND 30% BY THIS  
AFTERNOON AS WELL.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85900  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........84 79 74 69 65 60 62 63 64 70  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............57 62 65 68 71 74 76 76 77 76  
RH..............80 65 56 51 44 38 34 33 31 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 12 13 13 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.4 2.9 3.8 5.0 7.3 7.8 7.8 7.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 10 12 14 16 16 16 14  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.2 4 9 26 38 61 102 110 110 86  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD VGD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (52500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........77 83 85 88 90 82 74 66 64 62 59 55  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
TEMP............76 73 69 64 62 60 60 59 58 57 54 53  
RH..............36 41 49 63 70 75 75 80 80 80 86 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 9 9 8 8 9 9 10 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 10 12 12 12 9 12 13 16 17 17  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.53 6 5 5 5 5 4 5 8 15 15 16  
SMOKE CAT.......FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (48400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 47 37 28 18 15 12 9 9 8 8 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............52 51 53 54 58 61 65 68 70 71 73 72  
RH..............80 80 77 74 67 58 48 40 36 34 30 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.3 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E NE NE E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 14 13 14 16 16 14 13 13  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.15 18 20 24 25 25 34 45 48 48 47 42  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...05  
REQUESTED BY...GREG SIECK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513344.0/DMX  
.DELDT 05/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GREG.SIECK@DALLASCOUNTYIOWA.GOV  
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