269  
FNUS73 KDMX 071348  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHRISTOPHERSON/ANDERSON...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
848 AM CDT WED MAY 7 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS MORNING  
TO 15-20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES  
BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 30 AND 35% THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
ALTHOUGH ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS  
AFTERNOON BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR GUSTY, ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS OF  
30-40 MPH, THESE ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE WITH  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY AT THE BURN SITE.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (70000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................1.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........59 55 60 64 69 69 70 71 70  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 63 65 68 71 73 74 75 74  
RH..............62 54 50 43 39 37 34 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 21 21 22 22 23 24 24 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.9 4.5 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 18 18 18 18 17 17 17  
GFDI............0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.17 21 32 33 41 47 58 67 70  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (70500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (7500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................1.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........70 69 66 64 61 49 38 26 24 22 21 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............73 72 67 64 61 59 57 55 54 53 51 51  
RH..............34 35 43 48 56 57 59 64 66 66 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 21 20 18 18 17 17 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 15 15 13  
GFDI............1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.71 67 14 11 11 10 10 9 8 9 9 8  
SMOKE CAT.......GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (46200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................1.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 19 14 10 5 5 6 6 5 3 2 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 49 51 54 58 62 66 68 70 71 73 72  
RH..............71 74 68 59 51 43 37 33 30 29 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.3 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 14 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.10 13 17 16 16 23 32 40 42 45 46 43  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...05  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HARR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513359.0/DMX  
.DELDT 05/07/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RYAN_HARR@FWS.GOV  
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