573  
FNUS73 KDMX 091229  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWNS WOODS PRESCRIBED FIRE...POLK COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
629 AM CST MON FEB 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY, WITH WARM, DRY AND BREEZY  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BEGIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST  
THIS MORNING, THEN BECOME BREEZY AND MORE SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY  
THROUGH THE DAY, WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE BY THIS  
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DRY OUT INTO THE UPPER-30  
PERCENTS THIS AFTERNOON. A STEEP INVERSION WILL BE IN PLACE THIS  
MORNING, LIMITING SMOKE DISPERSAL, BUT SHOULD STEADILY IMPROVE AS  
THE MIXED LAYER GROWS THROUGH THE DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 14  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 17  
TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (35900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................6.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........62 69 61 63 55 62 63 44 43 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............28 33 39 45 50 56 61 63 63 61  
RH..............85 78 67 58 52 43 39 38 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 10 12 13 15 14 13 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 15 18 20 22 24 24 23 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.5 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 14 18 18 21 24 21 18 17  
GFDI............1 1 2 3 4 7 10 10 8 6  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.3 4 8 16 21 27 36 34 24 16  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 21  
TO 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................3.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........61 52 41 29 37 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............58 51 49 46 41 37  
RH..............49 66 71 71 79 85  
20 FT WIND......S 9 SW 8 W 9 NW 10 N 12 N 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 16 20 22 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 700 600 600 900 1100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 18 W 17 NW 20 N 22 N 21  
GFDI............4 2 2 3 3 3  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.13 11 8 10 17 20  
SMOKE CAT.......POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (57600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........81 64 55 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 37 44 49  
RH..............85 82 58 44  
20 FT WIND......NW 12G20 NW 13G21 NW 13G21 NW 12G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1800 2300 2800  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 21 N 23 NW 22 NW 23  
GFDI............2 3 4 5  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.24 37 43 56  
SMOKE CAT.......POOR POOR FAIR FAIR  
 
 
FORECASTER...DODSON  
REQUESTED BY...DOUGLAS TODEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602126.0/DMX  
.DELDT 02/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.TODEY@POLKCOUNTYIOWA.GOV  
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