827  
FNUS73 KDMX 091231  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 235 UNIT...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
631 AM CST MON FEB 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY, WITH WARM, DRY AND BREEZY  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BEGIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST  
THIS MORNING, THEN BECOME BREEZY AND MORE SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY  
THROUGH THE DAY, WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE BY THIS  
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DRY OUT TO AROUND 40  
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. A STEEP INVERSION WILL BE IN PLACE THIS  
MORNING, LIMITING SMOKE DISPERSAL, BUT SHOULD STEADILY IMPROVE AS  
THE MIXED LAYER GROWS THROUGH THE DAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 18  
TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (36400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................6.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 50 39 38 32 30 22 29 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............37 42 48 53 58 63 65 65 63  
RH..............75 67 56 50 45 41 40 40 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 13 13 14 14 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 21 23 24 26 25 23 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.3 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 20 23 24 24 18 18  
GFDI............1 2 4 6 7 10 10 8 6  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.4 8 13 22 29 33 36 21 15  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO 16  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20  
TO 23 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (7600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........23 11 13 15 24 37 40 28 25 37 38 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 58 54 53 52 51 49 46 44 43 39 37  
RH..............49 53 59 64 66 66 68 73 79 76 82 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W NW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 10 9 9 10 14 16 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 20 20 18 21 20 20 23 25 24 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW W NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 22 21 21 20 20 21 20 23 22 21  
GFDI............5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.9 11 13 12 11 9 8 10 11 16 17 18  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (47300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................4.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 50 56 52 47 47 43 38 33 29 27 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............36 35 36 38 41 43 47 48 49 50 48 47  
RH..............85 89 85 79 70 65 53 47 46 42 46 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 23 23 23 23 22 22 21 20 17 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.7 1.9 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 23 23 23 21 21 21 20 16 12  
GFDI............3 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 3  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.19 19 21 30 35 40 41 46 47 46 26 11  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...DODSON  
REQUESTED BY...DRAY WALTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602089.0/DMX  
.DELDT 02/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DRAY.WALTER@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
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