470
FNUS73 KDMX 071316
FWSDMX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELM LAKE...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
816 AM CDT TUE APR 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.
DISCUSSION
INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY. A FEW ISOLATED, LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON (30% CHANCE). WIND WILL BE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL FALL TO AROUND 40%. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED AND TURN STRONGER FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST ON
WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (57600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................4.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........23 26 37 48 60 67 75 83 84
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............31 34 36 37 39 40 40 41 40
RH..............61 54 50 48 44 44 48 48 52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 15 16 16 17 17 18 20
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 20 20 21 22 23 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 18 18 18 20 20 21
GFDI............2 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5
SMOKE DISPERSAL.26 34 43 52 55 56 58 52 52
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 18 TO 26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 26
TO 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (19200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................5.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........84 84 82 85 82 71
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 36 35 35 36 37
RH..............59 75 82 82 82 85
20 FT WIND......SE 18 SE 18 SE 20 SE 22 SE 24 S 26
20 FT WIND GUST.24 23 24 28 30 31
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1100 1300 900 1200 900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 SE 20 S 25 S 24 S 30 S 26
GFDI............4 3 3 4 5 5
SMOKE DISPERSAL.50 19 28 20 31 22
SMOKE CAT.......FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 26 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 23 TO 31 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 38
TO 46 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING WEST 28 TO 35 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (24600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (101900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (111800
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (188300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO GOOD
(67600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GFDI................10 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
DECREASING TO 11 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........47 52 66
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 51 64
RH..............85 68 46
20 FT WIND......S 26G33 S 32G39 SW 30G39
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2800 4800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 28 S 43 SW 45
GFDI............6 14 22
SMOKE DISPERSAL.25 102 188
SMOKE CAT.......POOR VYGD EXNT
FORECASTER...HAGENHOFF
REQUESTED BY...NATE MEAD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609319.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NATE.MEAD@DNR.IOWA.GOV
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