590  
FNUS73 KDMX 011131  
FWSDMX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICHAQUA PRESCRIBED FIRE - DARNELL...POLK COUNTY CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
631 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED.  
 
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED. VERY LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL COME AROUND TO ROUGHLY SOUTH BY THIS  
AFTERNOON, AT SPEEDS OF AROUND 5-10 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL  
FALL AFTER SUNRISE, REACHING A MINIMUM AROUND 50% THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........88 AT IGNITION...MAX 93.  
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /13600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/44900 KNOT-FT/.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 35 35 34 27 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............88 89 90 92 92 92  
RH..............61 59 56 52 52 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 12 13 13 10  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.14 23 33 41 45 31  
SMOKE CAT.......PR PR PR FR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.  
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT).  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........8 5 7 16 39 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............91 87 80 79 78 77  
RH..............56 63 74 69 67 69  
20 FT WIND......S 3 SE 5 S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....1400 500 500 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 SE 9 S 13 S 14 SW 15 SW 12  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.10 4 5 6 6 5  
SMOKE CAT.......POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 93.  
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
10 TO 16 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST 9 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (42700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........33 24 26 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............75 78 87 91  
RH..............71 71 57 52  
20 FT WIND......S 6G10 SW 7G12 SW 9G15 SW 9G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 900 3000 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 SW 13 W 16 W 13  
GFDI............0 0 0 0  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.4 9 42 29  
SMOKE CAT.......POOR POOR FAIR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...LEE  
REQUESTED BY...DOUGLAS TODEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2621024.0/DMX  
.DELDT 09/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.TODEY@POLKCOUNTYIOWA.GOV  
 
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