241
FXUS63 KDVN 230802
AFDDVN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
302 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COOL DOWN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING TREND
BEGINS ON SUNDAY.
- CHANCES FOR RAIN CONTINUE IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT BUT THOSE CHANCES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 248 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY
WITH QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD. IT WILL BE SUNNY TODAY
BUT COOL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS
THE AREA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY.
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WITH LEAD TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE
AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE 30S
ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 248 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARN FROM THE
50S ON TUESDAY TO THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ON THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY,
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PASS TO OUR NORTH ACROSS
MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
THIS WILL PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THERE WILL
BE GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH
OF THIS WAVE AS WELL AS AVAILABLE MOISTURE. THE BETTER FORCING
DOES LOOK LIKE IT WILL BE POST FRONTAL BUT IF THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH DURING THE DAY THERE MAY BE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE FRONT BUT THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING
AT THIS TIME. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING TREND STARTS ON SUNDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1231 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THERE IS A BAND OF STRATUS MOVING
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE SURFACE HIGH WITH MVFR
CEILINGS AROUND 2500 FT. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS THAT THIS
STRATUS DECK WILL IMPACT KCID AND KDBQ THROUGH 09 UTC WITH
CURRENTLY VFR CEILINGS WIH CLOUDS AROUND 3500FT EXPECTED AT
KMLI AND KBRL. KBRL AND KMLI MAY NEEDED TO BE AMENDED IF THIS
CLOUD DECK IMPACTS THESE TAF SITES. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED AS WINDS TURN FROM THE NORTH CURRENTLY TO THE EAST
AFTER 18 UTC ON MONDAY AND THEN TO THE SOUTH AFTER 03 UTC.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...COUSINS
LONG TERM...COUSINS
AVIATION...COUSINS
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