859
FXUS63 KDVN 231136
AFDDVN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
636 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND IS FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A
COOL DOWN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING TREND
BEGINS ON SUNDAY.
- CHANCES FOR RAIN CONTINUE IN THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT BUT THOSE CHANCES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 248 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY
WITH QUIET WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD. IT WILL BE SUNNY TODAY
BUT COOL WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS
THE AREA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THROUGH THE
DAY TODAY.
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WITH LEAD TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH WITH AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE
AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE IN THE 30S
ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 248 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A WARMING TREND ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARN FROM THE
50S ON TUESDAY TO THE 70S TO LOWER 80S ON THURSDAY. ON THURSDAY,
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PASS TO OUR NORTH ACROSS
MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
THIS WILL PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THERE WILL
BE GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH
OF THIS WAVE AS WELL AS AVAILABLE MOISTURE. THE BETTER FORCING
DOES LOOK LIKE IT WILL BE POST FRONTAL BUT IF THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH DURING THE DAY THERE MAY BE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE FRONT BUT THERE IS LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THIS OCCURRING
AT THIS TIME. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE AREA
BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE ANOTHER WARMING TREND STARTS ON SUNDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD RESULTING IN VFR TAFS. WINDS WILL SWITCH
FROM NORTH THIS MORNING TO EASTERLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING TO SOUTHERLY AFTER 6 UTC. CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY
INCREASE AND CEILINGS WILL LOWER TO AROUND 12KFT AFTER 6 UTC AS
A STORM SYSTEM PASSES TO OUR SOUTHWEST.
DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
SHORT TERM...COUSINS
LONG TERM...COUSINS
AVIATION...COUSINS
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