174  
FNUS73 KEAX 090955  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNN RANCH - SOUTH 600...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
455 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON OCTOBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS AT IGNITION TIME ARE EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 15-20 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED TO SLOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. RH VALUES BOTTOM OUT  
AROUND 45 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. FUEL MOISTURE IS MIXED WITH  
RECENT RAINS; HOWEVER, ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS LIKELY ENABLED FUELS  
TO DRY QUICKLY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE ANTICIPATED BURN  
PERIOD. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS ARRIVES FRIDAY MORNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 16 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........46 39 25 22 12 10 7 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 61 65 67 69 70 71 70  
RH..............62 58 53 49 47 47 46 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 20 18 21 20 20 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 15 16 16 16 15  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................2 PERCENT INCREASING TO 28 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 6 8 8 15 13 41 69 71 73 85 77  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30  
TEMP............69 65 63 61 61 60 60 60 59 59 59 58  
RH..............52 58 60 65 66 64 64 64 69 69 72 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 15 14 14 15 14 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 12 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................28 PERCENT DECREASING TO 3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 73 58 43 41 33 29 25 22 19 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........CHC  
CWR.............30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 57 58 60 63 67 69 72 74 75 76 75  
RH..............86 86 87 87 81 75 73 68 64 62 60 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW W NW NW N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 13 12 9 8 7 7 8 8  
 

 
FORECASTER...PESEL  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN GAUGER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2523211.0/EAX  
.DELDT 10/09/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RGAUGER@TNC.ORG  
 
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