871
FXUS63 KEAX 292327
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
627 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* FROST POTENTIAL ACROSS THE REGION EACH MORNING INTO THE
WEEKEND AS LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 30S. FROST ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT TOMORROW MORNING FOR EASTERN KANSAS INTO
NORTHERN MISSOURI.
* DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WARM
TO THE 60S FOR HIGHS BY MID WEEK, NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
WINDS ARE CONTINUING TO DECREASE AS THE DAY DRAGS ON, EVENTUALLY
BECOMING LIGHT BY TONIGHT. SKIES ARE BEGINNING TO SCATTER OUT AS THE
CLOUD DECK PUSHES SOUTHWARD. WHILE THE RAIN HAVE MOSTLY MOVED OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA, A PATCH OF LIGHT DRIZZLE REMAINS SOUTHEAST OF THE
KC METRO AREA. DRIER WEATHER WILL START TO TAKE HOLD AS THE LOW
PRESSURE PROGRESSES FURTHER EAST TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND, REINFORCING THE DRIER AND COOLER
PATTERN. THE BIG STORY THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE COLD MORNING
TEMPERATURES.
TONIGHT, LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WITH SKIES
CLEARING AND WINDS BECOMING NEARLY CALM, A GOOD RADIATIONAL SETUP IS
LOOKING LIKELY. THERE IS A FROST ADVISORY IN PLACE FROM 4AM TO 8AM
TOMORROW MORNING FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MOUND CITY
KS TO KIRKSVILLE MO, BUT SOUTH OF THAT LINE THERE COULD STILL BE
SOME MORE ISOLATED AREAS OF FROST. FROST IS POSSIBLE EACH
MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BRIEFLY DROP DOWN TO AROUND 50 DEGREES SATURDAY FOR
HIGHS, BUT WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK. BEFORE
THAT, LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT COULD GET DOWN TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING. MID TO UPPER 60S HIGHS AND LOWS IN THE
40S ARE FORECAST BY MIDWEEK, NEXT WEEK.
DESPITE SOME SHORTWAVES PASSING OVERHEAD, THE EXTENDED FORECAST
IS DRY. AS DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH, THEY WILL HAVE A PRETTY
DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, DEPRIVING ANY CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR THE
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 624 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
LOW VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
NORTHERLY WINDS GRADUALLY SLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODELS
SUGGEST A NARROW WINDOW BR/FG AROUND 12Z; HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN
BR/FG REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. IF WINDS ARE
ABLE TO FULLY SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT BR/FG DEVELOPMENT IS MORE
LIKELY. WIND INCREASE SLIGHTLY AFTER SUNRISE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY
MORE NW THROUGH THE DAY. SKY COVERAGE GRADUALLY OPENS UP
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR MOZ001>008-
011>017-020>024-028>031-037-038-043.
KS...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ025-057-
060-102>105.
DISCUSSION...BT
AVIATION...PESEL
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