305
FXUS63 KEAX 300518
AFDEAX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1218 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* FROST POTENTIAL ACROSS THE REGION EACH MORNING INTO THE
WEEKEND AS LOW TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 30S. FROST ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT TOMORROW MORNING FOR EASTERN KANSAS INTO
NORTHERN MISSOURI.
* DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WARM
TO THE 60S FOR HIGHS BY MID WEEK, NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
WINDS ARE CONTINUING TO DECREASE AS THE DAY DRAGS ON, EVENTUALLY
BECOMING LIGHT BY TONIGHT. SKIES ARE BEGINNING TO SCATTER OUT AS THE
CLOUD DECK PUSHES SOUTHWARD. WHILE THE RAIN HAVE MOSTLY MOVED OUT OF
THE FORECAST AREA, A PATCH OF LIGHT DRIZZLE REMAINS SOUTHEAST OF THE
KC METRO AREA. DRIER WEATHER WILL START TO TAKE HOLD AS THE LOW
PRESSURE PROGRESSES FURTHER EAST TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND, REINFORCING THE DRIER AND COOLER
PATTERN. THE BIG STORY THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS THE COLD MORNING
TEMPERATURES.
TONIGHT, LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WITH SKIES
CLEARING AND WINDS BECOMING NEARLY CALM, A GOOD RADIATIONAL SETUP IS
LOOKING LIKELY. THERE IS A FROST ADVISORY IN PLACE FROM 4AM TO 8AM
TOMORROW MORNING FOR AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MOUND CITY
KS TO KIRKSVILLE MO, BUT SOUTH OF THAT LINE THERE COULD STILL BE
SOME MORE ISOLATED AREAS OF FROST. FROST IS POSSIBLE EACH
MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HIGHS WILL BRIEFLY DROP DOWN TO AROUND 50 DEGREES SATURDAY FOR
HIGHS, BUT WILL BEGIN TO WARM AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK. BEFORE
THAT, LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT COULD GET DOWN TO
NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING. MID TO UPPER 60S HIGHS AND LOWS IN THE
40S ARE FORECAST BY MIDWEEK, NEXT WEEK.
DESPITE SOME SHORTWAVES PASSING OVERHEAD, THE EXTENDED FORECAST
IS DRY. AS DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH, THEY WILL HAVE A PRETTY
DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, DEPRIVING ANY CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR THE
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1215 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS FOR NOW AS A SCATTERED-BROKEN DECK OF CLOUDS
THINS ALONG THE KS/MO BORDER. AM WATCHING FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
FOG DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL INTO SOUTHERN IOWA, AND BUILD
SOUTH DOWN I-35 TOWARDS THE METRO. DEPENDING ON HOW FAR SOUTH IT
GETS, COULD IMPACT MCI AND POTENTIALLY MKC. SCATTERED TO BROKEN
DECK OVER STJ MAY KEEP THEM MORE PROTECTED FROM FOG POTENTIAL.
ONCE THE FOG CLEARS, LIGHT WEST- NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITH FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS DEVELOPING MID-DAY DISSIPATING
TOWARDS SUNSET.
EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR
MOZ001>008-011>017-020>024-028>031-037-038-043.
KS...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR KSZ025-
057-060-102>105.
DISCUSSION...BT
AVIATION...BT
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