522  
FNUS73 KEAX 211432  
FWSEAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMP BLUEGRASS UNIT...JOHNSON COUNTY PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO  
832 AM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-438-0596, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. WINDS  
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE A BRIEF PERIOD  
OF MORE CONSISTENT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH DURING THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WITH TIME DURING THE AFTERNOON,  
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEASTERLY BUT GENERALLY REMAIN 10 MPH OR LOWER.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW 30 PERCENT  
DURING THE AFTERNOON, SO IF STRONGER WINDS END UP OCCURRING, FIRE  
SPREAD MAY BECOME MORE AGGRESSIVE/ERRATIC. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE  
THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING WINDS TO A NORTHERLY  
DIRECTION AND INCREASING QUICKLY TO 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO AROUND 50 TO 60 PERCENT IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......UP TO AROUND 3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 44 40 45 49 44 40 35 43 51  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 24 28 32 35 37 38 40 38 37  
RH..............65 65 50 41 36 34 32 30 34 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE S S SE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.0 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S SW SW W W NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 7 ABOVE.  
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........59 62 65 68 72 76 80 83 87 90 92 93  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 33 31 29 27 26 24 22 19 17 14 12  
RH..............40 43 49 51 53 50 50 49 54 53 55 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 13 15 17 18 21 22 23 24 24 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 9 15 20 22 24 25 26 28 28 28 26  
 
 
FORECASTER...CMS  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW GARRETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600763.0/EAX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.GARRETT@JOCOGOV.ORG  
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