066
FNUS74 KEPZ 181918
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX FEELY PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1218 PM MST MON NOV 18 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON NOVEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS TOMORROW WILL ALLOW RH TO FALL
BACK TO 25-35% IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER,
LEADING TO FAIR MIDDAY VENTILATION WITH TRANSPORT TOWARD PINOS
ALTOS. WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY, GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH AND POOR VENTILATION.
NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES REST OF THE WEEK.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (46700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........2 4 11 11 8
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............31 44 49 51 49
RH..............56 35 29 27 30
20 FT WIND......NW 7 NW 8 W 8 W 8 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 16 16 13
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 3300 3300 3500 3500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 11 W 15 W 15 W 12 W 12
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 47 47 46 46
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........5 5 3 3 3 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............42 35 32 31 30 29
RH..............39 47 51 49 49 48
20 FT WIND......N 7 N 7 NE 9 NE 9 NE 9 NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 16 16 16 16
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 8 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10
HAINES INDEX....4 3 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6
TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8 TO
10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........2 2 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1
TEMP............30 47 56
RH..............46 27 21
20 FT WIND......NE 9G16 SE 8G16 SE 8G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 3500 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 S 10 SW 8
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 27 23
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS POWERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426867.0/EPZ
.DELDT 11/19/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV,TY.OLIVER@USDA.GOV,DANIEL.LONDON@USDA.GOV
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