092
FXUS64 KEPZ 161250 AAA
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
550 AM MST MON DEC 16 2024
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 415 AM MST MON DEC 16 2024
- COLD FRONT WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS ARRIVES ON
WEDNESDAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ABOVE NORMAL MOST DAYS THIS WEEK.
- LITTLE TO NO CHANCES (0 TO 10%) FOR PRECIPITATION INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 415 AM MST MON DEC 16 2024
WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A DRY WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK INTO THE
THIS WEEKEND. FOR TODAY , A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL STROLL
ACROSS NEW MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM WILL DO VERY LITTLE TO OUR WEATHER.
WE WILL SEE A DEGREE OR TWO OF COOLING AND OUR WINDS WILL SWING
AROUND TO THE NORTH, BUT WE WON'T SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF ANY OTHER
WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. FOR TUESDAY OUR ZONAL (WEST
TO EAST) FLOW WILL RETURN, TO WARM US A FEW DEGREES AND KEEP US
DRY. THEN ON WEDNESDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH
COLORADO WILL HELP PUSH A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS FRONT WILL GIVE US BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS. THE COLD FRONT WILL (OF
COURSE) USHER IN SOME COOLER AIR. WE WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
WEDNESDAY 7 TO 12 DEGREES COOLER THAN THE HIGHS ON TUESDAY, WHICH
WILL PUT THE AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPS NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES. THE
COOLER WEATHER WON'T LAST, BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE WILL TRY TO NOSE INTO THE REGION AND THAT WILL JUMP
OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. FOR NEXT
WEEKEND, OUR DRY ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE, AS WILL OUR ABOVE
AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 518 AM MST MON DEC 16 2024
WE WILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WE HAD SOME
HIGH CLOUDS IN THE AREA ON SUNDAY, BUT THOSE HIGH CLOUDS HAVE
PUSHED OF TO OUR EAST AND WE WILL HAVE UNLIMITED CEILINGS TODAY
AND TONIGHT. OUR WINDS HAVE COME AROUND TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST
AND THEY WILL CONTINUE FROM THAT DIRECTION TODAY, BEFORE GOING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 415 AM MST MON DEC 16 2024
WE WILL HAVE QUIET FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THIS WEEK.
WE WILL HAVE LITTLE TO KNOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THIS
COMING WEEKEND. MIN RH'S WILL BE IN THE TEENS TODAY AND TUESDAY.
THEN MIN RH'S WILL RISE TO 20% OR HIGHER FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT THIS WEEK, WITH THE
ONE EXCEPTION BEING BREEZY WINDS, ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SLOPES OF
AREA MOUNTAINS, ON WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 67 39 69 41 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 66 35 67 36 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 65 34 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 65 33 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 51 29 50 24 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 61 32 64 34 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 63 35 64 35 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 67 31 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 67 29 66 30 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 66 40 66 40 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 67 29 67 33 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 70 33 72 34 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 62 39 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 67 34 69 36 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 64 34 64 34 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 65 40 66 41 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 65 30 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 67 30 68 34 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 65 32 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 62 32 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 60 31 65 28 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 61 31 59 28 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 59 29 59 27 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 60 24 64 25 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 62 32 66 33 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 63 29 64 32 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 65 31 65 30 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 64 29 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 71 20 71 21 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 65 31 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 64 34 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 68 29 69 31 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 65 28 67 31 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 67 33 71 33 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 65 38 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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