815
FXUS64 KEPZ 192337
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
437 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 422 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
- DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND WELL
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 118 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
UL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
PERIOD, AND REALLY YOU COULD ARGUE THE ENTIRE PERIOD. THE
ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE WILL CHANGE SOME THROUGH SATURDAY, BUT
IT DOES NOT BEGIN TO FLATTEN UNTIL SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN
MUCH ABOVE NORMAL WITH LIGHT WINDS. THERE WILL BE A S/W THAT
PASSES ON MONDAY BUT WITH LITTLE AFFECT TO OUR WEATHER.
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP IN ITS WAKE AND MONDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY
BREEZIER. A S/W RIDGE WILL FOLLOW IN ITS WAKE ON TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER S/W TROUGH PASSES ON WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES
WITHIN THE GFS AND EURO ON ITS AMPLITUDE, BUT DIFFERENCES IN
IMPACTS ARE MINIMAL. CHRISTMAS LOOKS MILD TO WARM AND A LITTLE
BREEZY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 437 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SKC-SCT250.
SURFACE WINDS VARIABLE AOB 7 KNOTS. AFTER 18Z WINDS BECOMING
MAINLY EAST/SOUTHEAST 7-10 KNOTS, STRONGEST NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 118 PM MST THU DEC 19 2024
DRY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE. MIN RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER
20S. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH ONLY A MINOR INCREASE IN WINDS
ON MONDAY WITH A DECREASE IN RH VALUES. TUESDAY SEES RH VALUES
REBOUND BUT WILL SEE LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE. POOR VENTING IS
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE IMPROVEMENTS COMMENCE THIS
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 40 66 39 67 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 33 61 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 35 64 34 67 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 32 61 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 26 48 29 52 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 33 60 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 34 61 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 31 64 30 67 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 31 64 28 66 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 40 64 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 30 61 30 66 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 32 67 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 38 59 39 60 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 34 66 34 67 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 34 62 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 41 63 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 29 62 31 64 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 30 65 30 67 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 33 63 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 33 61 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 28 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 29 57 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 27 55 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 26 59 25 63 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 33 62 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 30 62 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 31 63 31 67 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 29 61 29 66 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 21 70 19 72 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 32 64 31 67 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 34 61 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 28 66 28 69 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 28 63 27 67 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 31 64 30 69 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 37 64 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...17-HEFNER
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