382
FNUS74 KEPZ 011429
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR STONE FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
829 AM MDT TUE APR 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
DISCUSSION
AN INCOMING DISTURBANCE WILL BRING STRONG WINDS IN CONCERT WITH
LOW HUMIDITY TODAY. THIS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS IN AND AROUND THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST TO
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON,
PEAKING BETWEEN 1500 AND 1700 MDT. GUSTS OF 40 MPH WILL BE COMMON,
WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING, WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST AFTER 2000
MDT. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY ON WEDNESDAY, WITH GUSTS
OF 25 TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL IMPROVE BEYOND
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS BUT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO
EXIST DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING DUST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 TO 19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 45 MPH, LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (105700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (232900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING
AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 41 TO 48 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 52
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........14 14 12 19 19
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE PATCHY NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE BLDUST NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 49 52 54 53
RH..............45 30 23 19 20
20 FT WIND......SW 21 SW 21 SW 23 SW 24 SW 24
20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 43 44 44
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 5300 5300 6900 6900
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 41 SW 48 SW 48 SW 52 SW 52
VRATE KT-FT/1K..106 233 233 309 309
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD EXNT EXNT EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 44
MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (296600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
(47800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING
TO POOR (10100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 38 MPH DECREASING TO 11 TO 20 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........19 19 30 23 23 41
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............51 40 34 31 28 25
RH..............21 31 38 41 46 52
20 FT WIND......W 23 W 23 W 16 W 10 W 10 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.44 44 30 15 15 10
MIX HGT (FT)....6900 6900 2200 2200 900 900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 38 W 38 W 20 W 20 W 11 W 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..297 297 48 48 10 10
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT FAIR FAIR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO
AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(226500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 32
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........71 58 57 59
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30
TEMP............23 32 41 45
RH..............57 41 29 23
20 FT WIND......SW 5G9 SW 8G18 SW 14G25 SW 16G30
MIX HGT (FT)....4300 4300 8700 9000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12 SW 12 SW 25 SW 32
VRATE KT-FT/1K..65 65 227 251
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 19. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...BREITREITER
REQUESTED BY...BRETT CROLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508582.0/EPZ
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRETT.CROLEY@USDA.GOV
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