217
FNUS74 KEPZ 011554
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEVEN BROTHERS...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
954 AM MDT TUE APR 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
STRONG WEST TO WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN AND AROUND
THE FIRE AREA TODAY AS AN DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST. GUSTS ALREADY ONGOING WILL INCREASE, PEAKING BETWEEN
1300 AND 1700 MDT, WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH LIKELY. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 1500 AND 1800 MDT WITH VALUES AT
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. REGARDLESS OF THE
POTENTIAL FOR SUB-CRITICAL RH, WINDS WILL WORK TO OVERPOWER ANY
MOISTURE AVAILABILITY, ESPECIALLY IN FINER FUELS. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT WILL REMAIN NEAR CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS UNTIL AROUND 0600 MDT. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
WEDNESDAY, THOUGH TO A FAR LESSER EXTENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN IN THE LATE MORNING, REACHING CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS WILL TOP OUT AROUND 40 TO 45 MPH. MOISTURE WILL
BE IMPROVED, BUT NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL STILL
EXIST DUE TO THE GUSTY WINDS. TRANSITION DAY EXPECTED THURSDAY
WITH LIGHTER WINDS AND NEAR-CRITICAL RH. CHANCES FOR RAIN/SNOW
SHOWERS WILL ENTER THE FORECAST FRIDAY/SATURDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR WETTING RAIN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS
AROUND 65 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 56 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (295500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 2 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........7 4
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0
TEMP............54 54
RH..............26 18
20 FT WIND......W 33G68 W 33G67
MIX HGT (FT)....6000 6000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 56 W 56
VRATE KT-FT/1K..296 296
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 65 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 22 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH OVERNIGHT BEFORE 0600.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 45 MPH DECREASING TO 23 TO 32 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (283200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........12 9 11 31
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 41 36 33
RH..............18 26 35 41
20 FT WIND......W 33G67 W 29G61 W 22G46 W 16G30
MIX HGT (FT)....5900 5900 1300 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 45 W 45 W 32 W 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..283 283 39 0
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 TO 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 44 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 34
TO 41 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(216700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........86 56 39 33
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10
TEMP............30 36 41 44
RH..............46 35 26 22
20 FT WIND......W 14G25 W 16G37 SW 21G44 SW 24G44
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2100 6400 7700
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20 W 20 SW 34 SW 41
VRATE KT-FT/1K..47 47 217 277
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR EXNT EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FORECASTER...BREITREITER-IMET
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508425.1/EPZ
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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