107  
FNUS74 KEPZ 020126  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STONE FIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
726 PM MDT TUE APR 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY, THOUGH HIGHER RH WILL  
PREVENT THE NEED FOR ANOTHER RED FLAG. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVERAGE ON  
WEDNESDAY WITH ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. LIGHTER WINDS  
THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY. COOLER AND HIGHER MOISTURE LATE THIS WEEK.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 32  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (77200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(191300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........64 53 53 54 53 53  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............25 33 38 43 45 44  
RH..............52 39 32 27 23 24  
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 9 SW 9 SW 14 SW 15 SW 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 21 21 28 28 28  
MIX HGT (FT)....4800 4800 8300 8300 9200 9200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 13 SW 23 SW 23 SW 32 SW 32  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..77 77 191 191 265 265  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD EXNT EXNT EXNT EXNT  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 18.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 14 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (194000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(12400 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........49 49 41 33 33 27  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 33 28 25 22 20  
RH..............26 39 50 60 68 74  
20 FT WIND......SW 12 SW 12 SW 7 SW 3 SW 3 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 16 9 9 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....7200 7200 1000 1000 1000 1000  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 24 W 16 W 16 W 14 W 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..194 194 15 15 12 12  
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (132300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (155300  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........28 42 56 69  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
TEMP............18 29 41 46  
RH..............77 46 26 20  
20 FT WIND......SW 3G7 SW 5G12 SW 7G15 SW 7G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 3500 9400 9800  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 SW 16 SW 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..49 49 132 155  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR VYGD EXNT  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.  
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.  
HIGHS AROUND 50. LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...BRETT CROLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2508661.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 04/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRETT.CROLEY@USDA.GOV  
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