703
FNUS74 KEPZ 042228
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRON...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
428 PM MDT SUN MAY 4 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A RETURN OF BREEZY AND SOMEWHAT GUSTY SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE GILA TODAY HAS BROUGHT BACK MUCH DRIER AIR, WITH CRASHING
DEWPOINTS AND MINRH FALLING BACK DOWN INTO THE TEENS. HOWEVER, A STORM
SYSTEM REMAINS OVER THE REGION, WITH MODERATE MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ALOFT.
THAT MEAN A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS, WITH CONTINUED LOW CHANCES FOR A
PASSING HIGH BASE SHOWER OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY, AS THE SYSTEM SLOWLY SPINS EAST ACROSS THE REGION. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE NEAR NORMAL AND SLIGHTLY BELOW, WITH BREEZY
AFTERNOON CONDITIONS. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATELY GOOD,
BUT AFTERNOONS WILL BE LOW, DESPITE SOME IMPROVEMENT. THE MAIN WEATHER
THREATS ARE BRIEF GUSTY OUTFLOWS FROM HIGH BASED AND MOSTLY DRY ISOLATED
SHOWERS, AND POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING. WARMER, AND DRIER, WITH LIGHTER
WINDS AFTER WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (257200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 4 PM
SKY (%).........63
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).40
TEMP............56
RH..............25
20 FT WIND......S 13G25
MIX HGT (FT)....9500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 31
VRATE KT-FT/1K..257
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A LIGHT AND BRIEF SNOW SHOWER AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
25 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (152900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(6400 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........72 62 53 42
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE NONE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE SNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 30 10 20
TEMP............53 41 35 32
RH..............32 57 68 75
20 FT WIND......SW 8G25 S 5G16 S 3G12 S 2G12
MIX HGT (FT)....6100 6100 1000 500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 23 S 23 S 15 S 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..153 153 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT EXNT POOR POOR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 19 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (68900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (153000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........54 35 50 47
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 40 40
TEMP............30 37 44 49
RH..............78 54 33 25
20 FT WIND......S 7G18 S 15G28 SW 14G26 SW 12G24
MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3300 6800 7500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 19 S 19 SW 25 SW 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..69 69 149 153
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD VYGD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...BIRD
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2512872.0/EPZ
.DELDT 05/04/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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