413
FNUS74 KEPZ 052153
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR IRON...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
353 PM MDT MON MAY 5 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION
CHANCES TO THE AREA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WE COULD SEE SOME
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TUESDAY MORNING, OTHERWISE LIGHT RAINS
SHOWERS LATE MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE
BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT COUPLE OF AFTERNOONS, WHICH COULD PRODUCE
SOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. RH RECOVERIES AT NIGHT WILL
BE EXCELLENT AND MIN RH'S DURING THE THE AFTERNOON WILL ALSO BE
GOOD RANGING FROM 40 TO 60% BOTH AFTERNOONS. AWAY FROM
THUNDERSTORMS WE WILL HAVE WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS, BUT THE WINDS
WILL STAY WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. WE WILL HAVE A WIND SHIFT ON
FRIDAY FROM THE WEST TO THE SOUTHEAST.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (32400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (65500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 8 AM 11 AM 2 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........60 66 77 72
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE LIKELY
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 70 70
TEMP............32 41 43 42
RH..............75 52 57 62
20 FT WIND......W 6G12 W 8G16 W 11G21 W 11G21
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 3900 4000 4000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 16 W 19 W 19
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 58 66 66
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........55 34 29 27
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 0 0
TEMP............41 36 31 29
RH..............65 75 92 92
20 FT WIND......W 8G17 W 5G10 W 3G7 W 2G7
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2200 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 W 9 W 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 33 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (27600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (75700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........26 39 58 60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 60 60
TEMP............27 39 49 51
RH..............100 73 42 41
20 FT WIND......W 2G7 W 3G12 W 6G15 W 7G16
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3100 7700 8200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 NW 9 W 12 W 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 28 75 76
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...BRICE
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2512872.1/EPZ
.DELDT 05/05/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page