553
FNUS74 KEPZ 181527
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEVEN SPRINGS...BIA-MESCALERO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
927 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND OVER THE FIRE PERIMETER THIS AFTERNOON,
WITH GOOD SMOKE VENTILATION AND LIGHT TRANSPORT TOWARD THE
WNW. MOISTURE INTRUSION FROM LAST NIGHT HAS INCREASED RH, AND VERY
GOOD RH RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT. WINDS INCREASING
OUT OF THE EAST AFTER 9 PM TONIGHT, WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVER AND AROUND THE FIRE AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON, LEADING TO ERRATIC AND VARIABLE WINDS BETWEEN
11AM-3PM TOMORROW. COOLER, WETTER WEATHER PATTERN NEXT WEEK WITH
DAILY RAIN CHANCES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12600 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (93600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 3 AM 5 AM 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM
SKY (%).........2 2 10 12 12
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE AREAS AREAS AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............73 80 83 84 84
RH..............31 19 17 15 14
20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 W 7 SW 7 SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 17 17
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 11700 11700 12600 12600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 NW 9 NW 9 W 9 W 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 94 94 88 88
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (66500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM
SKY (%).........12 12 9 8 8 10
WEATHER COV.....AREAS AREAS NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............81 75 68 64 61 60
RH..............18 29 42 54 70 67
20 FT WIND......E 9 E 9 E 13 SE 14 SE 14 SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 24 24 24 20
MIX HGT (FT)....11100 11100 200 200 100 100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 E 15 SE 23 SE 23 SE 17 SE 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..67 67 3 3 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (81700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) MIDNGT 3 AM 6 AM 9 AM
SKY (%).........9 20 32 38
WEATHER COV.....NONE AREAS AREAS AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 30
TEMP............59 74 80 78
RH..............60 34 27 30
20 FT WIND......SE 6G13 SE 6G14 SE 8G17 SE 7G17
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 2800 11400 10800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 SE 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 20 82 81
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
FORECASTER...DENNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...NMADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516184.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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