881
FNUS74 KEPZ 101957
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEYFEATHER WILDFIRE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
157 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AIR HAS MOVED IN, BUT THERE WILL STILL BE SOME ISOLATED STORMS
INTO THE EARLY EVENING OVER THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. VERY DRY AIR MOVES IN FOR
FRIDAY WITH STORM CHANCES REMAINING EAST OF THE BURN. THERE WILL BE SOME
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS THAT COULD HAVE SOME GUSTS OVER 20 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON. MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN BACK TO THE AREA FOR THE
WEEKEND WITH ISOLATED COVERAGE SATURDAY AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR
MODERATE TO POSSIBLY HEAVY RAIN GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (144100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........38 65
WEATHER COV.....NONE ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20
TEMP............88 88
RH..............23 21
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....13100 13100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 NW 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..144 144
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE UNDER 10 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (104700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........58 48 35 19 9 7
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 77 74 69 67 62
RH..............23 26 28 33 38 45
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 NW 4 SW 5 SW 5 NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 18 15 15 13
MIX HGT (FT)....8600 8600 700 700 600 600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14 W 14 W 12 W 12 W 8 W 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..105 105 7 7 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (127600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (173500
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........10 5 17
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............60 79 89
RH..............47 20 12
20 FT WIND......W 5G13 NW 6G17 W 8G21
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 11600 13400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 11 NW 13 NW 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 128 174
VENTRATE CAT....POOR VYGD EXNT
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517341.5/EPZ
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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