001
FNUS74 KEPZ 110131
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR TELEPHONE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
731 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EARLY THIS EVENING, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS LINGER NEAR
THE SITE WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS. THE ACTIVITY
DISSIPATES AROUND SUNSET WITH LIGHT PREVAILING WINDS OVERNIGHT
FROM THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR.
RAIN AND STORM CHANCES WILL BE NEAR ZERO FOR FRIDAY AS DRIER AIR
MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS BECOME BREEZIER FROM THE WEST-
NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND MODESTLY BREEZY WINDS WILL CREATE SOME ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STORM CHANCES THEN INCREASE
THIS WEEKEND AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE EAST, LOWERING THE
FIRE DANGER THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM THROUGH SATURDAY,
THEN COOLING TO NEAR NORMAL. VENTILATION WILL BE EXCELLENT ON
FRIDAY, THEN GOOD TO VERY GOOD THIS WEEKEND.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........56 40 14 14 15
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 72 67 63 60
RH..............23 29 36 41 47
20 FT WIND......W 7 SW 7 W 7 W 7 W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 17 17 15
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 13 W 13 NW 12 NW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (33800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(161700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........8 8 5 14 14 25
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............58 67 78 84 86 87
RH..............51 37 18 12 10 10
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 21 21 23
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1600 6600 10600 13000 13000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 13 NW 13 NW 15 NW 15 NW 15 NW 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 14 72 142 178 178
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD EXNT EXNT
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (173100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(4300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........28 26 8 9
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0
TEMP............85 74 64 58
RH..............11 21 37 49
20 FT WIND......NW 10G23 W 8G20 W 7G17 W 5G14
MIX HGT (FT)....12400 1400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 15 W 13 NW 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..173 13 5 4
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (118800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........5 13 49
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE CHANCE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 50
TEMP............55 77 88
RH..............57 23 11
20 FT WIND......NW 5G13 NW 6G13 NW 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 14000 13900
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 NW 9 W 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 98 119
VENTRATE CAT....POOR GOOD VYGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517794.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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