310
FNUS74 KEPZ 110228
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ECKLEBERGER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
828 PM MDT THU JUL 10 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RAIN SHOWERS MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS EVENING WITH
CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT AND LIGHT PREVAILING WINDS FROM THE WEST
AT 5 TO 10 MPH. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR. RAIN AND STORM
CHANCES WILL BE NEAR ZERO FOR FRIDAY AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM
THE WEST. WINDS BECOME BREEZIER FROM THE WEST- NORTHWEST DURING
THE DAY WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
MODESTLY BREEZY WINDS WILL CREATE SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STORM CHANCES THEN INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND AS MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE EAST WITH A LOW THREAT OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING, LOWERING THE FIRE DANGER
THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM THROUGH SATURDAY, THEN COOLING
TO NEAR NORMAL. VENTILATION WILL BE EXCELLENT ON FRIDAY, THEN GOOD
TO VERY GOOD THIS WEEKEND.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........37 37 13 15 15
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 69 66 62 60
RH..............25 32 36 43 46
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 8 W 8 W 8 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....100 100 100 100 100
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 14 W 14 NW 13 NW 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 2 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(157100 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........8 8 4 12 12 22
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............58 66 77 82 85 85
RH..............49 37 17 12 10 10
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 NW 8 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 22 22 23
MIX HGT (FT)....200 1200 5200 10200 12700 12700
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 NW 14 NW 16 NW 16 NW 15 NW 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 11 67 147 173 173
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD VYGD EXNT EXNT
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (170300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(1300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........24 13 8 9
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0
TEMP............83 73 64 58
RH..............11 20 37 47
20 FT WIND......NW 12G23 W 10G20 W 8G17 NW 7G14
MIX HGT (FT)....12200 1200 100 100
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 15 NW 15 NW 13 NW 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..170 7 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (105900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 5 5 12 12 12 48 48 48 65 65 65
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50 50
TEMP............55 59 64 69 74 79 82 85 85 85 85 83
RH..............55 47 40 32 24 17 14 12 12 12 13 15
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13 16 16 16 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 9 9 9 9 11 11 11 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 23 23 23 98 98 98 98 106 106 106 106
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517798.0/EPZ
.DELDT 07/10/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV
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