713  
FNUS54 KEPZ 151210  
FWFEPZ  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SOME  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, WITH ANOTHER MINOR  
UPTICK ON TUESDAY. WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST  
THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL  
IMPULSES AND COOLER AIR ALOFT MOVE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.  
PRECIP CHANCES THEN LOOK TO DIMINISH HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 30S TO 40S UNTIL THEN.  
 

 
 
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT  
SKY COVER AMOUNT...  
 
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:  
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)  
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)  
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)  
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)  
 
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED  
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.  
 
NMZ110-151815-  
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....71-76.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....79-84.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....26-31 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....28-33 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 9 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (68300 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....48-53.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....54-59.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....78-83.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (63100 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 75 TO 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 76 TO 81. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS 52 TO 57. HIGHS 75 TO 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ111-151815-  
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-89.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57700 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-65.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 14 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 14 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (84800 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 82 TO 87.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 83 TO 88. EAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 84 TO 89.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ112-151815-  
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (55000 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-64.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........32-36 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (65600 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 82 TO 87.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. HIGHS 82 TO 87. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGHS 83 TO 88.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ113-151815-  
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....76-81.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....39-44 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....29-34 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (69100 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....52-57.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....89-94 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....83-88 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....66-71.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....75-80.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........  
* ABOVE 7500 FT....51-56 PERCENT.  
* BELOW 7500 FT....38-43 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-9100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (67800 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 51 TO 56. HIGHS 73 TO 78. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 70 TO 75. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS 49 TO 54. HIGHS 72 TO 77. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ055-151815-  
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055  
EL PASO COUNTY-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-90.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-34 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 5 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (60900 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-68.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 12 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-89.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........31-33 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (76900 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO  
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN  
THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO  
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ056-151815-  
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056  
HUDSPETH COUNTY-  
610 AM MDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (49800 KNOT-FT).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 12 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.  
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 8 MPH.  
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.  
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9300 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (74800 KNOT-FT).  
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 81 TO 86. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 81 TO 86. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60 TO 65. HIGHS 82 TO 87. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page Main Text Page