849  
FNUS74 KEPZ 161535  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALAMO CANYON SURVEY...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
935 AM MDT TUE SEP 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING  
WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO DAILY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. CURRENT WORST CASE SCENARIOS IS FOR  
ONE HALF TO THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH RAINFALLS ALONG THE WESTERN  
SLOPES OF THE SACS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL  
REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT  
AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...43 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
TIME (MDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........53 53 53 56 56 56 55 55 55  
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONESCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 30 50 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 40 40 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............64 66 68 70 72 73 74 74 73  
RH..............63 61 59 57 53 51 50 48 48  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6  
SURFACE WND GST.9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
SUNRISE.............  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........57 57 57 61 61 61 62 62 62 57 57 57  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............71 68 65 63 62 62 62 61 61 60 59 59  
RH..............49 55 58 62 65 62 62 65 65 67 69 69  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SURFACE WND GST.9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...27 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE AROUND 5 TO  
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SUNSET..............  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........48 48 48 37 37 37 48 48 48 56 56 56  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONECHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30  
TEMP............59 60 63 65 67 69 71 73 74 74 73 72  
RH..............69 69 65 63 61 57 53 49 48 48 48 48  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 7 7  
SURFACE WND GST.7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
FRIDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.    
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
LIGHT WINDS.  
 
 
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ  
REQUESTED BY...KIMBERLY HINSHAW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2522030.0/EPZ  
.DELDT 09/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KIMBERLY.HINSHAW@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page
Main Text Page