600
FXUS64 KEPZ 301727
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1127 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
- WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER FOR HALLOWEEN.
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NOVEMBER. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
OVERALL A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN LIKE WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR. THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND, THE BORDERLAND WILL
REMAIN UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW WITH VERY DRY AIR REMAINING IN
PLACE. LOOKING AT PREVIOUS DAYS, NBM LOW TEMPS HAVE BEEN RUNNING
TOO WARM, THE MET/MAV TEMPS HAVE BEEN BETTER. HAVE LOWERED LOW
TEMPS ABOUT 2-5 DEGREES MOST DAYS THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR THE
LOWLANDS AND UP TO 10 DEGREES IN TYPICAL COLDER VALLEYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES DIDN'T LOOK TOO BAD AND WILL GENERALLY RUN NEAR TO
ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THERE WILL BE A RIDGE PASSING OVER
FOLLOWED BY A FAST MOVING TROUGH WHICH SETS UP WESTERLY FLOW. THIS
WILL WARM TEMPS UP ANOTHER FEW DEGREES. EC IS SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
THE GFS HERE WITH ENSEMBLE MEANS BEING IN THE MIDDLE, SO NBM DID
LOOK CLOSE HERE AND DIDN'T MESS MUCH WITH HIGHS. LOWS CONTINUE TO
LOOK A LITTLE WARM, ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICAL COLD SPOTS AND DID
LOWER SEVERAL DEGREES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
P6SM SKC THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS GENERALLY UNDER 08KTS AND
TERRAIN DRIVEN.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS
NEAR TO ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MIN RH'S WILL FALL INTO THE
LOWER TO MID TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA EACH AFTERNOON,
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY EACH NIGHT AND ALLOW RH'S TO
GET INTO THE 40S AND 50S LOWLANDS WITH TYPICAL COLD AREAS GETTING
INTO THE 70S/80S. WINDS WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A CONCERN EXCEPT FOR
FRIDAY WHEN SPEEDS OF 10-20 WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE AFTERNOON. VENT RATES FRI WILL MAINLY BE VERY GOOD AND FALL
TO FAIR TO GOOD FOR SAT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 46 83 52 77 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 44 77 44 67 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 43 80 45 76 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 41 76 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 37 56 34 53 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 45 77 45 74 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 42 71 43 72 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 42 81 43 78 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 43 78 45 77 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 46 82 52 75 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 35 81 41 68 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 44 83 49 76 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 43 72 47 67 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 42 83 47 74 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 42 80 47 75 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 45 81 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 39 79 42 76 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 38 82 42 78 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 45 82 50 79 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 38 77 42 72 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 36 69 36 61 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 34 67 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 31 64 35 61 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 34 72 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 43 79 46 74 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 43 77 41 75 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 30 72 29 73 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 40 74 42 73 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 34 77 33 78 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 32 74 30 75 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 42 74 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 43 80 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 42 79 45 76 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 44 79 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 47 73 47 73 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...26-GRZYWACZ
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