879
FXUS64 KEPZ 302317
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
517 PM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 516 PM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
- WARM AND BREEZY WEATHER FOR HALLOWEEN.
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN INTO EARLY NOVEMBER. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
OVERALL A QUIET WEATHER PATTERN LIKE WHAT IS EXPECTED FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR. THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND, THE BORDERLAND WILL
REMAIN UNDER A NORTHWEST FLOW WITH VERY DRY AIR REMAINING IN
PLACE. LOOKING AT PREVIOUS DAYS, NBM LOW TEMPS HAVE BEEN RUNNING
TOO WARM, THE MET/MAV TEMPS HAVE BEEN BETTER. HAVE LOWERED LOW
TEMPS ABOUT 2-5 DEGREES MOST DAYS THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR THE
LOWLANDS AND UP TO 10 DEGREES IN TYPICAL COLDER VALLEYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES DIDN'T LOOK TOO BAD AND WILL GENERALLY RUN NEAR TO
ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
GOING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, THERE WILL BE A RIDGE PASSING OVER
FOLLOWED BY A FAST MOVING TROUGH WHICH SETS UP WESTERLY FLOW. THIS
WILL WARM TEMPS UP ANOTHER FEW DEGREES. EC IS SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
THE GFS HERE WITH ENSEMBLE MEANS BEING IN THE MIDDLE, SO NBM DID
LOOK CLOSE HERE AND DIDN'T MESS MUCH WITH HIGHS. LOWS CONTINUE TO
LOOK A LITTLE WARM, ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICAL COLD SPOTS AND DID
LOWER SEVERAL DEGREES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 PM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN
LIGHT AND VARIABLE INTO THE AM, INCREASING TOMORROW AFTERNOON FROM
THE W. GUSTS NEAR 25KTS ARE FORECAST OUTSIDE OF KTCS LATE IN THE
PERIOD. MAINLY SKC EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT THU OCT 30 2025
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS
NEAR TO ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. MIN RH'S WILL FALL INTO THE
LOWER TO MID TEENS FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA EACH AFTERNOON,
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL FALL QUICKLY EACH NIGHT AND ALLOW RH'S TO
GET INTO THE 40S AND 50S LOWLANDS WITH TYPICAL COLD AREAS GETTING
INTO THE 70S/80S. WINDS WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A CONCERN EXCEPT FOR
FRIDAY WHEN SPEEDS OF 10-20 WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE AFTERNOON. VENT RATES FRI WILL MAINLY BE VERY GOOD AND FALL
TO FAIR TO GOOD FOR SAT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 83 52 77 47 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 77 44 67 38 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 80 45 76 41 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 76 45 73 42 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 56 34 53 32 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 77 45 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 71 43 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 81 43 78 40 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 78 45 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 82 52 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 81 41 68 36 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 83 49 76 43 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 72 47 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 83 47 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 80 47 75 43 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 81 50 75 46 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 79 42 76 37 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 82 42 78 40 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 82 50 79 45 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 77 42 72 39 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 69 36 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 67 36 65 35 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 64 35 61 28 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 72 37 70 35 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 79 46 74 43 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 77 41 75 39 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 72 29 73 25 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 74 42 73 38 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 77 33 78 31 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 74 30 75 28 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 74 45 73 43 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 80 46 77 42 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 79 45 76 40 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 79 46 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 73 47 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...39-ARONSON
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page